It’s not about seeing this fail.
The problem is that across the country people will recognise a similar situation in their local area in terms of similarly distanced squadrons and the myopic ATC management unable to see beyond the end of their eyelashes, wanting to embark on their social engineering project. HQAC have been mumbling like the bloke on the library steps about super squadrons and would use this as a model, completely ignoring the unique circumstances that brought it about.
As you have said this came about due to some extraordinary funding and the staff know each other and seem from the description swept up in the moment.
I don’t think it’s about seeking its failure, just more a realistic view adopted.
We’ve got 3 squadrons in our Wing that almost mirror the three squadrons in this instance in terms of crow flight distance from each other, although they are in 3 different towns. You couldn’t trust HQAC to not look at these and similar and do something silly.
If HQAC do see this as a model they need to leave if for 5 years, to have a few cycles of cadets and see how stable the staffing is, as the latter is the real key to how well it does over a prolonged period.
At the moment this squadron it is new married couple; they’ve been doing things together in the loose relationship that is being engaged for a few years, they’ve got married and they’re still hyped from the wedding day and idyllic honeymoon and just getting into their first home together, family and friends still abound and life hasn’t changed that much from their pre-marriage days.
Five years on with one or more kiddies and maybe a dog, friends may have moved away or got their own families, jobs may have changed, family have got older, the wedding day and honeymoon are long distant memories and the house is not quite as they would like as they haven’t had the time and or money to do the things, a night out means asking someone to babysit, but it’s not the same as before, as they are tired and feel odd not having the kids around. Like this squadron no one wants to see a marriage fail, but like this you can’t tell if a marriage will be successful just after first few weeks. The newlyweds will say it’s all wonderful, but parents looking on just nod sagely as they know it’s hard work to make it work, seeing beyond the daily slog and if one or other doesn’t do their bit or looks elsewhere, it will fall apart or just be an existence.
So do not see this as people saying they want it to fail, but more of people outside who’ve been around a while and not so easily ‘excited’ by something new and need to see it in a few years’ time.