Coronavirus: what happens next!

The scientists have said that people who get it and get through it are essentially immune to this strand. If it is like flu, it will mutate and be a slightly different strand next winter.

The flu virus is different every year, and the flu vaccination is a guess at which strand is most likely to be about. Hence why it doesn’t work for everyone, just the majority. Flu is also a coronavirus so this is expected to do the same.

Lets all meet up at Lindley Hall Farm, in Fenny Drayton, Leicestershire (geographical centre of the uk) and get this virus over with, you are gonna get it (Possibly) so get it and recover :rofl:

There is certainly an expectation in some quarters that going for a full lockdown too early will make things far worse as the spread will appear to be contained, everyone will come out and start full interactions again and then boom you have another massive peak.

Whereas the UK government plan seems to be to accept the infection for the majority of people but to draw it out to avoid having a massive peak that will swamp the Intensive Care Units. (Been given figures at work that says “expect this to last 4-6 months”)

Weve been told there will be waves of flexible working expected until end of year

Anyone read the articles about the ‘secret document’ leaked to the Guardian. Scary stuff if it’s true but I can’t help thinking it’s all being blown out of proportion by the media as usual

There was one winter (2014-15?), where the 'flu jab was relatively ineffective = a much higher incidence of deaths.

1999-2000 was very bad.

That is true, they selected to put the wrong strain of the flu in to the vaccine, it there was a mutation they weren’t expecting. I can’t remember what the reason they gave for those years was.

We all need to be careful with hygiene as standard, I wonder if those that are catching it have a lower level of personal hygiene. Just a thought.

I think trying to spread out people getting it is absolutely the best approach, that’s just not what anybody’s trying to do. The way to spread out infections is to cut down on contact between people, not tell them to keep on going as normal.

Indeed, this approach has been taken to help the NHS be able to cope. A longer period of infection but less people rather than a higher peak over a shorter time. They have admitted that up to 80% of the population (UK) are likely to get it.

You have to weigh the benefits against the costs. In an ideal world, everyone would just shut up shop for a month or two, but that isn’t going to happen. The government cannot reasonably expect to maintain a shutdown for a prolonged period of time, so they are going to try to do it when it will have the most impact. By doing it when infection rates are taking off, it will slow down the infections to help the NHS cope.

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I think this is where people, especially the scientists questioning the CMO’s strategy aren’t looking at the big picture and the psychological aspects.

You can only put people in lockdown for so long before they start ignoring it or fighting it. (Trust me try and tell the Public a Road is closed)

However the Media is whipping up such a storm of fear that the government doesn’t need to tell us start avoiding contact yet we are doing it anyway.

The Government will start telling people to avoid contact when it needs to, which will be when the Media induced fear starts to wear off.

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My university’s ending all face to face teaching with effect from 23 March but are hoping to wrap everything up before then.

That means no lectures, no seminars, no direct research supervision etc.

Teaching is supposed to move online but I know for a fact some of the teaching staff struggle to use the online marking system so I am highly dubious any online teaching is going to work effectively.

Researchers in my school have been told to stop all face to face interviewing, focus groups etc immediately.

They seem to be making it up on the spot with each school interpreting the university’s decision slightly differently.

Whatever happens with the RAFAC they need to avoid this sort of vagueness and give direct commands about what units should and should not do.

So, RAFAC needs to communicate clearly and effectively?

were-all-doomed

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I kind of got a hint from the CACs weekly update that we would have more info fairly soon

CAC has a weekly update? I’m guessing that’s on social media, as I don’t remember seeing anything internal.

Facebook

Of course it is

I suspect, it will be very clear…

‘All units are to stand down, all RAFAC activity is to cease until further notice’

Then the timer starts.
Can the corps recover? I doubt it.

Saw my Wing Cdr yesterday, he was guessing we’d hear something today and that it would be about a stand down.

I know of at least one event now that was cancelled not out of concern, but because a cadet whose sibling was being isolated showed up.