China & Russia

Moldova isn’t really pro-Russia at least not the majority, it’s actually pro-Romania but Russia wouldn’t stand for them uniting as a single country (which the majority in both countries would prefer).

Still on the cards, asked the queation this morning.

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Russia is probably going to be fairly safe unless NATO get involved.

Having just seen a video of a Russian jet firing on civilian housing, I’m wondering if NATO might actually get involved…

Because NATO members don’t do that do they

dd0

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One of the Twitter accounts posting vids is @caucasuswar

Don’t know how accurate it is though.

It depends on the overall objective and how good the Ukrainian Military is. It took Russia a decade to pacify Chechnya and they didn’t have anything like what Ukrainian have got.

I still can’t see Russia trying to conquer the whole country, the eastern regions and destroying strategic targets all over the rest of the country would make some sense.

But who willingly wants a guerrilla war for the next 20 years?

In both Chechnya & Afghanistan Russia believed it could do exactly that, over-estimating their own ability, under estimating their opponents.

This tends to occur frequently in organisations & nations who are overly authoritarian, do not tolerate dissent & as result are staffed by yes people & fanatic ideologues who don’t accept the constructive criticism that would mean that they would be able to improve on their deficiencies.

True, but the Senior Russian leadership lived through those campaigns, most of them were involved in some way, shape or form. So you would expect them to at least understand the risk.

I would wager that the current senior leadership in Russia are the types who believe they only ‘lost’ there because they couldn’t fight the want they wanted to fight - ie, brutally destroying everything in their path a la Zhukov.

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What I think would be an interesting consideration/thought: during WW2 those at University could postpone their conscription (same with national service). With now so many young people going to University, would this still be an option?

Also, don’t forgot some people were exempt from conscription through their essential job.

If the worst were to happen and conscription became necessary, I feel there would be a sizeable chunk of young people who wouldn’t go willingly.

Conscription isn’t a realistic option in the modern world anyway.

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I think with the rise of less academic university courses that don’t really do anything other than to fuel the higher education economy we’d end up with a list of courses that are exempt whereas all those on hair and make up degrees would be stuffed.

I did Google that and there are universities offering that degree

Not sure I agree with that. If we ended up in another WW2 style conflict then it would happen

I bet if you told the British public in 2019 that in a year’s time it would be illegal to sit on a park bench or visit family, we would say that would never happen in the U.K. in 2020. :joy:

I could imagine if things went very south, the improbable could be a possibility.

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Anyone know when the CBRN PTS is being released?

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Green lanyard if you complete the Corps level course.

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The difference is in the pace of war and the technology in use. The reality is that any war would be fought with the equipment we already have, you don’t have shadow factories that can ramp up your weapons production for example.

Once the airforce you have today is gone you aren’t manufacturing another one for many years, let alone training replacement aircrew.

Medical knowledge being what it is, a huge proportion (the majority, tbh) would be ineligible.