Volunteer organisations are always in flux & it’s always different in Comparing now to those awesome days when we were cadets
It depends whether, if you excuse the metaphor, we have a “flying” mentality or a “gliding” mentality. [I’m using these terms metaphorically and no insinuation or comparisons should be made by real pilots of fixed wing - non powered aircraft]
If we are a “flying” mentality then we will go up and go down, occasionally stall and go into a downward spiral but able to recover as we had sufficient height before the change/manoeuvre. Turbulence is to be avoided but it something we can deal with.
If we have a “gliding” mentality then we will never go up again (gliders don’t do that) and a have a fatalistic attitude that as long as we manage our steady declining altitude with the right glide slope we will land safely albeit never to take off again. Turbulence is to be looked for & encouraged as the thermals & hot air can give a bit of lift than can keep us going for longer but a glider can never ascend and as such those with a “gliding” mentality accept that we should manage the inevitable & unavoidable decline/decent.
This is where I think we are as an organisation we have too many “Glider” mentality and not enough of the flying “powered flight mentality”.
You can see both paid & volunteer staff pulling their hair out to fight the issue, avoid the turbulence and & get us to starting going up again so we can get the altitude to start doing the loop-the-loop while the “gliding” mentality are seeking out the turbulence and saying that we must accept the environment as we can only go down.
The organisation has been hit by covid which has reduced the resilience of the organisation (less height for the powered lot to do the manoeuvres or pull us out of the spin in time) and as such no one has (publicly) pushed back as much as they use to be able to, to make sure things work.
As such we have more & more regulations that is not suitable or compatible with a volunteer organisation yet the “gliding” mentality is that we must accept the conditions & the decline.
The ATC part of RAFAC is struggling and could be in a death spiral- although the more accurate term would be a cascade failure.
Too much pressure on a volunteer causes them to quit. Other volunteers don’t have capacity to take over that aspect of the work so things don’t get done, more pressure is applied so more volunteers quit etc.
So the question is not are we in a death spiral or cascade failure.
It is how do we recover? How do we pull up with over stressing the air frame? How do we return back to straight & level flight?
An engineer mentality would be to ground everything fix things slowly get the systems realigned and then take off again - a sound plan but is reliant on time which we don’t have and we’re still in the downward spin?
First step would be to stop spinning & then the next step would be to pull up.
How to stop spinning? Firstly put a “pause” on the issuing of all new IBNs to allow a systematic policy review.
Secondly all new IBNs and policies must have a section stating what considerations have been given to the effect on the volunteers and what steps must be taken to mitigate any effect on morale. It doesn’t have stop the policy just give that new consideration.
How to pull up?
Each RC should have a teams meeting /star chamber with all Sqn COs in their Area of responsibility (single mtg with everyone attending) . All full frank questions and answers, no ranks - just responsibilities. If not the RCs then it should OCs with Commandant AC.
Then trust needs to be built back up between the paid staff & volunteers, between the volunteers and also in the individual volunteer themselves many of whom have lost confidence in their skills & ability due to skill fade and rather than deal with this replacing it with angry and frustration.
The key is to deliver the organisation as suited to now and deliver what we need now not try to recreate the air cadets of our youth. We should be respectful of the past but not bound by it.
So to summarise a short answer to your question yes we are in a death spiral but we always are and there is enough height currently for us to pull out, just not as much as we are use to and this time it’s going to be a close one.