We could also look at the emerging picture.
DofE awards are down - we have slipped out largest operator crown and handed it to the (scouts?). Is this because of other factors which the kids see, the extra burden from qualifications required above and beyond external bodies. I don’t know. The crown was slipping when schools started pulling funding to deliver DfE and made it part of various extra curricular syllabuses.
Lack of RAF Aircraft and Stations - defence spending is down. Vastly down. There’s an emergency recruitment ongoing as the trend has slipped below the line, but there are less and less stations. Don’t believe the government hype about increased budgets. Anyone else see the bad new burried on the last day of Parliament? My organisation has government funding. On one day the Givenrment minister stood up in front of press and told them it’s a serious matter they are investing in, then cascaded details of a 15% cut two hours later. They may be saying The RAF are critical and important, but ask anyone in the RAF how things are at the moment.