I can’t see that if the decision was to stop UAS, that the RAF would put that resource totally into Air Cadet AEF. They would still need to have a contract for maintenance and support for a few flights at the weekend. Which is a bit like having a car that you only use at the weekend, you still need to tax, insure, MOT and maintain it, which increases the pence per mile cost and at some point the viability over just hiring a car for weekend, has to be considered.
Frankly if UAS went, then could we see the using of local flying schools for AEF, that has been advocated for a while. What we need is something that is sustainable into the long term future and simply from the perspective of MOD selling off estate, I don’t think any AEF locations (or VGS) are secure if the MOD needs a few quid.